Putting it all together – Final Project Evaluation Model [Part 6 of 6]

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This is a guest post written by Paramdeep from Pristine. Chandoo.org is partnering with Pristine to bring an excel financial modeling online training program for you.

Project Valuation Model ExcelThis is Part 6 of 6 on Financial Modeling using Excel

In this tutorial we are going to learn how to build assumptions & input sheets in our excel financial model. The 6 parts of this tutorial are,

  1. Introduction to Financial Modeling
  2. Building a layout for Project Evaluation Model – Best practices
  3. Building Inputs and Assumptions Sheet
  4. Building Projections for Project Evaluation
  5. Modeling the Cash Flow Statement and Projections
  6. Putting it all together – Final Project Evaluation Model
  7. Join our Financial Modeling Classes

I am sorry for the slight delay in the post. Things have been very hectic for the last few weeks as we were just completing our training on Financial Modeling in Excel – Real Estate (RE) sector for JP Morgan. The real estate valuation is very similar to the project evaluation that we are doing for the simple reason:

  • Project evaluation and real estate valuation are limited duration projects (If you intend to sell the RE project in near future) unlike general companies (which are an on-going concern)
  • For both these the timing of the cash is very important. A delay in the timing might appear to be ok for the developer, but the investor’s calculations (typically IRR) go for a toss

In India most of the RE developers are businessmen, who are concerned about the cash that the project generates. They are not really too bothered if they receive it in April or September (After all they are getting the cash). But the investors are really bothered by these delays – Some PE investors have a limited period investment horizon and some are too concerned about the IRR generated by the project. As we figured out in our class, Real estate projects are very sensitive to delays in cash generation! Excel is a great tool to show this effect in a matter of 30 secs (Use XIRR and data-tables). Maybe I will write about this functionality in one of my posts later!

For the time being lets come back to our project.

What is time value of money?

Let me start with a very simple to understand example.

  1. If you invest $100 in bank today, what would be its value 1 year down the line (assuming 10% interest rate)?
  2. The value should be 100*(1+10%) = $ 110.
  3. Now if you keep this invested for another year, what would be its value 2 years down the line?
  4. The value should be 110*(1+10%) = $ 121. I can also write it as 110*(1+10%)^2
  5. Similarly if you keep invested for 10 years, the value would be 110 * (1+10%)^10

This is the simple concept of compounding.

The inverse of this concept (What if you wanted $110 after 1 year, or 110*(1+10%)^10 after 10 years), how much should you invest today, is called discounting. Clearly $100 today is worth $110 a year after and $121 two years hence.

Time Value Of Money Illustration

If I have more than 1 cash flows, I can discount them depending on the time duration and if I sum them all, its called Net Present Value (NPV) of all cash flows. We would take the outflows as Negative Cash and inflows as Positive Cash.

Npv Formula

In excel, you can either discount all cash flows or calculate the NPV of the project by using the function =NPV(Discount Rate, Cash)

Npv Calculations Excel Project Valuation Modeling

What is the rate on which money should be discounted?

When equity investors invest, they take greater risk as compared to banks lending money. Obviously their expectation of return would be higher. In some cases, the equity investor might have a return figure in mind (Based on the risk I am taking, I would like to have Min. 15% return on my invested money).

Sometimes, this expected return can be calculated by using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). What this states is very simple – Equity investors want a premium apart from the risk free rate (Lets call this expectation of equity investors as Re) . So there are two parts to the return expectation:

Re = Risk Free + Premium apart from Risk free

Now this premium depends on how much risk I am taking (Typically measured with respect to the volatility in returns with respect to the benchmark index). So I say:

Re = Risk Free + Beta * (Market Returns – Risk Free Returns)

The beta measures the movement of your returns with respect to market returns.

Expected Returns Calculation Capm Project Valuation Modeling Excel

Now apart from the equity investors, there would be some debt in the project. Typically debt holders expect a lower return (Lets call it Rd).

The overall expectation of return from the project is the weighted average of these returns, Re and Rd.

Wacc Weighted Average Cost Of Capital Excel

To create this switch in the model, I have used data-validation (so that the user can just input one of these options)

Project Model Switching Valuation Methods

To create such a drop down, use data validation – list option in excel

Data Validation Project Valuation Modeling

Internal Rate of Return

The same concept can be viewed from a return angle as well. If I can calculate a discount rate that makes the present value of the expected cash inflows just equal to the initial cost of the project, then that rate would be sort of a break even rate for me (Considering the time value of money). This rate is called the Internal rate of return (IRR).

Irr Calculations Excel

Many investors have a certain hurdle IRR in mind and if the project is generating an IRR less than the hurdle IRR, they would not invest in the project.

To calculate IRR, there is no analytical solution possible. You can use the excel function =IRR(Cash) to get the IRR of the cash flows.

Making a decision in our case

First let me summarize the decision criteria for you. I would invest in the project based on the following conditions:

NPV Rule:

  • If NPV > 0: The project may be accepted (Please note that positive NPV is not a sufficient condition)
  • If NPV = 0: The investor should be indifferent
  • If NPV < 0: The project must not be accepted (Please note that positive NPV is a necessary condition)

Please note that sometimes people might decide to take on the project even though the NPV is negative!

IRR Decision Rule

  • If IRR > the required rate of return, accept the project
  • If IRR < the required rate of return, reject the project

In our case, we are getting the NPV to be 21 and an IRR to be 12%. In this case it’s a borderline case and my feeling is that Mr. Samar would invest in the project (After all Mohit is his son!!) J.

Download Project Valuation Templates

I have created a template for you, where the subheadings are given and you have to link the model to get the cash numbers! You can download the same from here:

Project Valuation Template – Blank

You can go through the case and fill in the yellow boxes. I also recommend that you try to create this structure on your own (so that you get a hang of what information is to be recorded).

Also you can download this filled template and check, if the information you recorded, matches mine or not!  😉

Project Valuation Template – Solution

I am just doing that for the single sheet model and recommend that you do the same for multi-sheet model as a homework problem. If you face any issue, post your excel with the exact problem and we can discuss the way to move forward.
Financial Modeling using Excel - Online Classes by Chandoo.org & Pristine

Next Steps

We are not done with a basic model for evaluation of a project. There are other nuances that we could not tackle (Given the time and space constraint) – What if the cash does not come at year end, what could be the scenarios in which this project is not a viable project, what can be done to make the project more interesting, etc. I do hope that you found the posts interesting and look forward to your comments and suggestions!

Read previous part of this series – Modeling Cash-flow projections

How do you make project investment decisions?

We are very eager to learn from your experience and know your ideas. What methods of valuation do you use? How do you model them? Share using comments.

Join our Financial Modeling Classes:

Chandoo.org is partnering with Pristine to bring an online financial modeling training program for you. Click here to learn more about our financial modeling class & join.

Added by Chandoo:

Thank you Paramdeep & Pristine:

Many thanks to Paramdeep and Pristine for making this happen. I am really enjoying this series and learning a lot of valuable tricks about financial modeling.

If you like this series, say thanks to Paramdeep. I am sure he can take any amount of appreciation without choking.

This article is written by Pristine. The author can be contacted on paramdeep@edupristine.com.
Pristine is an awesome training institute for CFA, PRIMA, GARP etc. They have trained folks at HSBC, BoA etc. Chandoo.org is partnering with Pristine to bring an excel financial modeling online training program for you.
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63 Responses to “To-do List with Priorities using Excel”

  1. Mario 8a says:

    Very useful, you always give us good ideas for our excel files. Thanks
    I've been working on calendars leagues. If you must watch a bit on my blog. http://economiaemergente.com/
     

  2. Jason says:

    EXCELLENTE!!!! 

  3. Rasheed says:

    Needed .. thanks for sharing

  4. [...] To-do List with Priorities using Excel [...]

  5. Gregg says:

    Excellent spreadsheet.  Nice work.

  6. Jose Pedro says:

    Ciao Peppe!, Tante grazie per compartire il tuo eccellentissimo lavoro in Excel. Tu hai a web blog? - Grazie Chandoo per la publicazione.
    Hello Peppe, Thank you so much for sharing your most excellent work in Excel. Have you a web blog? - Thanks Chandoo for publication.

    • PEPPE says:

      Hi Jose,
       tanks for your appreciations and tks to Chandoo for publishing
      my little job.  it's a pleasure for me to be mentioned on my guru's blog. 
      Just to reply to Jose, I don't have a blog, but if you want to share some ideas or need some help don't hesitate to contact me also on twitter like @peppinogreco.
      Regards
      Peppe 

  7. Great!
     
    I've learned a little bit of VBA during the last year, and get addicted to it, but sometimes, it makes us forget how powerful excel is, without macros.
    Nice post!
     
    Cauê

  8. Hi Chandru,
     A very good post. Though I had been reading your posts for a longer time, did not post any questions so far except for wishing and appreciating.
     I have a question here. I had attempted to do something on my own (a little R & D) on the new year resolution template itself. However, I could not do it fully.  Thankfully, you had provided the link for each step , which was exactly what I was looking for 🙂 
     I had done with the check boxes and also conditional formatting. I am glad indeed. I am able to highlight a row when a check box is checked. However, the value of the checkbox gets printed in the same cell which it was linked to. How can I avoid it ? I could not see it in the sample excel files you had provided.
     I appreciate your help in this.
     
    Cheers,
    Raghavan alias Saravanan M
    Jeddah | Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

    • Chandoo says:

      Hi Raghavan... Thanks for your comments and I am glad you are trying to build this on your own. There is no way we can avoid printing the check box value in linked cell. If you do not want to see "TRUE or FALSE" in a cell, you do one of the following.

      • Link check box to a cell in an un-used column. Then hide that column.
      • Link check box to a cell in a different sheet. Then hide that sheet.
      • Link check box to a cell and then hide the cell contents by formatting it with custom code ;;; (more on this here: http://chandoo.org/wp/2009/06/05/hide-cell/ )
  9. Daniel says:

    Dal Messico grazie tanti Peppe.

    A great idea, thanks for shearing it with all of us.
     
    Daniel
     

  10. Lovely idea - downloading now.

    What software is used to create the animated gif of the template in action?  Love to replicate to simple demos on my site.

    Cheers
    Glen 

  11. John says:

    Raghavan

    I just make the font white for the cell linked to the checkbox or if you have shading applied then font colour = shading so its there but is not seen or printed.
    John  

  12. Utku says:

    Excellent! Thank you very much.

  13. Sully says:

    Excellent thanks!

  14. Suresh says:

    Happy New Year.
    Looks simple but excellent. Never knew you could do this without VBA.
    Thanks Pepe

  15. Henrique de Albuquerque says:

    good day,
    Please, how can I create a chart with scroll bar that is also dynamic in PPT.
    I created the chart in Excel, but I need this information to be presented dynamically in powerpoint and when I put the bar rolls loses functionality. please can you help me?

  16. Benny says:

    Come nella migliore tradizione:grandi ma semplici idde dall'Italia.
    bravo Peppe

  17. Vaslo says:

    This was outstanding.  I have had two bosses give me to-do lists that I was very unhappy with.  I went and added 15 more lines to this and it was really easy to so with a little reformatting and changing some links.  THANKS!!!

  18. Aparajita says:

    Thanks. really usuful. Will be waiting for such thing in future.

  19. Juan says:

    Great tutorial! It would be interesting if someone could explain how to do the chart with detail: how to insert the values of the horizontal axis, to create the horizontal bar (the outlines) and the bar itself, etc

  20. DJ says:

    Good Concept!
    Downloaded it but, my Excel 2007 hangs and I have to recover it few times. Finally it opens but, everything is distorted.
    Am I doing something wrong?
     
    -DJ

  21. tadovn says:

    Interesting idea.
    You give e new way to track my actual planning.
    But instead of using thermometer in this case, we can use a simple bar chart , with data is the total done.
    Reasoning for that, with thermometer, you have to format all the small part of data with the same color. If you have more than 10 parts, it will take your time to finish.
    I tested and it shown the same.
     
    I'm searching for How to automatically add check box link to a new cells when we add new item?
    Thanks for your interesting idea.

  22. Munir says:

    Thank you Peppe & Chandoo for sharing an awesome idea.

  23. Sara says:

    How do i increase the list ? I cant just drag down can I ? the check boxes perform the same way

  24. RAVI XAVIER says:

    VERY EXCELLENT THANK YOU VERY MUCH.

  25. Talia says:

    How do you increase the list? Formatting of the check boxes and shading etc does not copy correctly if using copy and paste or dragging cells down...

  26. Pradeep says:

    Thanks for this useful to do list.

    I have the same question as TADOVN. This blog doesn't properly give instruction on how to add new task row. Following are my queries.

    1) How do I add a new row?
    2) If I copy paste the last row to create a new row, the check box get duplicated, i.e. if I click on the new check box on the new row, the previous check box also gets checked.

    So the simple question is.. how do I add a new row so that it behaves the same way as other rows?

  27. Angela G. says:

    Thank you very much! Great to do list template.

  28. Celine says:

    Thanks for the template.

    From an NGO organisation in Malaysia

  29. Leah says:

    Will someone please answer the question about how to add additional rows to this list? I love it, but this is a fatal flaw, as I frequently have many more tasks.

    Thank you!

    • Dennis says:

      Below is how I added additional rows:

      1) Select both columns H and N, right clicked, and clicked Unhide to reveal the formulas.
      2) Select row 12 on the To Do List, copy it, and insert it below in the next row.
      3) Change the 12 in cell C22 to a 13.
      3) Drag your mouse and copy the formulas from cells I15, J15, and K15.
      4) Paste the formulas below in cells I16, J16, and K16.
      5) Right click on the check box in cell F22.
      6) Click Format Control.
      7) Click the Control tab.
      8) In the Cell Link box, change the I15 to I16.
      9) Repeat the steps above. (Change I16 in the Cell Link box to I17...I17 to I18, etc.)
      10) If you are not seeing Format Control when you right click the check box, you need to make the Developer Tab available.

    • Dennis says:

      Leah,

      If you follow my previous instructions, you still may need to go back and change the formulas in column K. They calculate the priority weights and go in consecutive order as you go down the column:

      IFERROR(1/E10,0)
      IFERROR(1/E11,0)
      IFERROR(1/E12,0), etc.

      Some of you who are more Excel savy may be able to figure out how to copy the formulas quicker. This is just the way I figured it out.

  30. Bandula says:

    I am sure I would love this and it will help me to accomplice my tasks efficiently . Thanks Buddy

  31. Sander says:

    How would I be able to delete one of the row (not use 6 for example) so it won't calculate it with the progress?

  32. […] 42,416] Angry Formulas game… [Visitors: 36,392] Learn top 10 Excel features [Visitors: 25,723] To-do list with priorities – Excel templates [Visitors: 19,947] Introduction to Power Pivot [Visitors: 21,298] Best new features in Excel 2013 […]

  33. […] 2013 Calendar, 2012 Calendar, 2011 Calendar, New Year Resolution Tracker, Picture Calendar Template and Todo list template […]

  34. […] ?? ????? ??????????? ?????? ?????? ????? ? ????????????? ??? Excel. ??? ???? ????? ?? ??? […]

  35. Victor says:

    Thank you so much for this post. I took me a bit to figure out how the checkboxes link to the rest of the sheet, but now that I've got it I've created a new page for every day so I can track tasks going forward. I've also added work tasks side-by-side with personal tasks. Once I did that I also thought it would be neat to see how productive I am week over week so I added a nice summery page. The summary builds on the percentage completion for personal and work tasks.

    Love this template - so versatile and yet simple.

    My next project is to get standard weighting for certain tasks so I don't have to keep remembering them.

    Cheers,

    Victor

  36. Jeff Carlsen says:

    I like this template. I may modify how the checkboxes work though for a couple reasons:

    1) It's a pain to add more rows. If I want to add 10 more rows, it appears that I have to re-point each new object to the appropriate link-cell. Otherwise, they all point back to the copied row - checking one causes all of them to check.

    2) I can't group and collapse rows in the checklist without all the objects stacking together and remaining visible in the lowest non-collapsed row. With a simple "x", this would be ok.

    One solution would be to have a simple "x" instead of a checkbox object. I could just use an "x" to mark complete, and make the TRUE/FALSE based on an If formula (If "x" then TRUE; otherwise FALSE).

  37. Kris says:

    I downloaded the file, but it is a ZIP file with several subfolders and xml files. There is no workbook here. How do I open this in Excel?

    thank you for the help and excellent ideas you share.

    • Hui... says:

      @Kris
      Yes, Excel files are special Zip files that actually contain a number of files including your data
      If the file opens like that save it locally as a *.zip file and rename it to a *.xlsx file

      Open with excel normally

  38. s.f says:

    How do you change the color when it is completed....I have multiple companies and need to color code this template.

    Thank you.

  39. Callie says:

    Hello! I have added additional rows, fixed it so that the check boxes work individually, AND made it so that the #% changes when each box is checked -- however the status bar won't move past the midway mark.

    Any ideas on how I can get the progress bar to fill up the entire way once the list is complete?

    • Cheryl says:

      If you right click the status bar, select 'Select Data' and go to 'Chart Data Range' and revise to include your expanded range. The bar chart colors may default to a predefined style. Right click the chart to reformat the Chart Area.

    • Cheryl says:

      Or, to change the bar colors, I populated all rows w/ activities and rank and then left clicked the bar chart color that I wanted to change - went up to the ribbon under the home tab, selected the new bar color from the fill color dropdown.

  40. Cheryl says:

    Love the instant gratification of the status bar! Genius!

  41. Frank says:

    Thank you so much, what a great tool! God bless you for doing this for free!!

  42. rahul saldanha says:

    Awesome
    Nice to show power of excel.

  43. Hui... says:

    Over in the Chandoo.org Forums, Asshu has updated this witha VB Interface

    Have a look and use if from: http://chandoo.org/forum/threads/to-do-list-vb-interface.28973/

  44. Chirag Raval says:

    Dear All,

    There are good job done here & its very helpful for all.
    God Bless You to you all for your valuable working.
    Regards,
    Chirag

  45. Jake says:

    Hi guys,

    I've added additional rows, but the percentages in the thermo-meter don't reflect this when the boxes are checked. I'm lost with how to change this, so any assistance would be greatly appreciated!

    Jake

  46. Peggy Wong says:

    Hi Chandoo, how you do it for all this check list. it is using Excel VBA, I am not good it that.. still leaning part. and I was trying to figure out. Trying to understand all vba code and meaning and when I use which code.

    do you have any guide line on this, i mean. Exp: dim is what, string etc:

    for all this checking list does need to use VBA?

    Thankyou
    Peggy

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