CP030: Detecting fraud in data using Excel – 5 techniques for you

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In the 30th session of Chandoo.org podcast, let’s learn how to uncover fraud in data.

How to detect fraud in data - 5 techniques for you - CP030 -  Chandoo.org podcast

What is in this session?

In the wake of hedge fund scams, accounting frauds and globalization, We, analysts are constantly second guessing every source of data. So how do you answer a simple question like, “am I being lied to?” while looking at a set of numbers your supplier has sent you.

Here is an email Peter, one of our readers, sent me last week:

Dear Mr. Chandoo

Shown numbers are measurements from a certain industry process. They are sent to me from a subcontractor. I have to validate these numbers. But am I being lied to? Did they make up the values themselves?
Values can be between 1 and 6 per contract. They are not necessarily normal distributed because of different batches.

That got me thinking?

That is our topic for this podcast session.

In this podcast, you will learn

  • Quick announcements about 50 ways & 200k BRM
  • Introduction to fraud detection
  • 5 techniques for detecting fraud
    • Benford’s law
    • Auto correlation
    • Discontinuity at zero
    • Analysis of distribution
    • Learning systems & decision trees
  • Implementing these techniques in Excel
  • A word of caution

Listen to this session

Click here to download the MP3 file.

 

Links & Resources mentioned in this podcast

50 ways to analyze data course:

Fraud Analysis theory & examples

Commonly occurring distributions

  • Normal distribution
  • Poisson distribution
  • Exponential distribution
  • Binomial distribution

Excel formulas & features to help you with fraud analysis

  • SUMIFS / COUNTIFS formula
  • FREQUENCY() function
  • Data Analysis Toolpak (enable this free add-in from Developer > Add-ins)
  • CORREL() function

Transcript of this session:

Download this podcast transcript [PDF]

How do you detect fraud?

I never had to detect fraud. So when Peter sent that email, I learned about it by researching. Based on the little I know about this field, my personal favorites are Benford’s law, distribution analysis, discontinuity at expected value.

What about you? Do you deal with data that has certain amount of fraud? How do you detect and analyze it? Please share your suggestions & tips in comments area.

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11 Responses to “Fix Incorrect Percentages with this Paste-Special Trick”

  1. Martin says:

    I've just taught yesterday to a colleague of mine how to convert amounts in local currency into another by pasting special the ROE.

    great thing to know !!!

  2. Tony Rose says:

    Chandoo - this is such a great trick and helps save time. If you don't use this shortcut, you have to take can create a formula where =(ref cell /100), copy that all the way down, covert it to a percentage and then copy/paste values to the original column. This does it all much faster. Nice job!

  3. Jody Gates says:

    I was just asking peers yesterday if anyone know if an easy way to do this, I've been editing each cell and adding a % manually vs setting the cell to Percentage for months and just finally reached my wits end. What perfect timing! Thanks, great tip!

  4. Jon S says:

    If it's just appearance you care about, another alternative is to use this custom number format:
    0"%"

    By adding the percent sign in quotes, it gets treated as text and won't do what you warned about here: "You can not just format the cells to % format either, excel shows 23 as 2300% then."

    • Steven Peters says:

      Dear Jon S. You are the reason I love the internet. 3 year old comments making my life easier.

      Thank you.

  5. Jon Peltier says:

    Here is a quicker protocol.

    Enter 10000% into the extra cell, copy this cell, select the range you need to convert to percentages, and use paste special > divide. Since the Paste > All option is selected, it not only divides by 10000% (i.e. 100), it also applies the % format to the cells being pasted on.

  6. Chandoo says:

    @Martin: That is another very good use of Divide / Multiply operations.

    @Tony, @Jody: Thank you 🙂

    @Jon S: Good one...

    @Jon... now why didnt I think of that.. Excellent

  7. sajith says:

    Thank You so much. it is really helped me.

  8. Winnie says:

    Big help...Thanks

  9. Chris Fry says:

    Thanks. That really saved me a lot of time!

  10. Texas says:

    Is Show Formulas is turned on in the Formula Ribbon, it will stay in decimal form until that is turned off. Drove me batty for an hour until I just figured it out.

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