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Excel Formulation : Vlookup inside Array formula

Please let me know why is the below array formula not working:

{=SUM(IF(Timeline_1<0,Timeline_1,IF(F24<=VLOOKUP(Scenario_Description,$E$3:$G$12,3,FALSE),-$F$24*$C$3,0))*Likelihood)}

Timeline_1, Scenario_Description, Liklihood are all arrays
 
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